CB insight에서 발표한 미래 공장에 대한 포스팅입니다.
기술들이 어떻게 제조업을 변화시키고 있는지에 관한 포스팅으로 포스팅이 길어 각 기술별로 나누어서 포스팅될 예정입니다.
도입부
  • 일본의 화낙 제조 시스템 중 하나를 소개 : 빛이 없는 상황에서 로봇이 자동으로 작동을 하며, 빛 뿐만아니라 히터와 에어컨도 필요 없는 로봇들로 구성
소개 기술 요약
  1. 품 연구 개발 : AI 가 재료 공학 기술을 발전 시키고, AR과 VR헤드셋이 제도판을 대체 하고 있음.
  2. 원 공급 및 계획 : 공급자 통합의 복잡성을 해결을 위해 블록 체인과 주문형 분산제조 기술이 이용되고 있음
  3. 운영 기술 모니터링과 머신 데이터 : IT 스택과 플랫폼들이 미래 공장들을 발전 시킬것. 공장들의 디지털화를 넘어 더 나은 예측 기술로 발전할 것임.
  4. 노동력 확대와 관리 : AR, 웨어러블 디바이스 등이 인간능력과 결합하여, 시너지 효과를 발휘 할 것.
  5. 가공,생산 과 조립 : 3D 프린터와 같은 모듈러 장비와 커스텀 장비가 수요의 다양성에 대응 할 수 있을것.
  6. 품질 보증 : 컴퓨터 비전이 결함을 찾고 소프트웨어와 블록체인 기술이 문제점을 발견해서 자동으로 리콜함.
  7. 창고 운용 : 로보틱스 기술과 비전 트래킹 기술로 인해 불꺼진 창고의 수요가 무인 공장의 수요보다 빠르게 성장,
  8. 운송 및 공급 망 관리 : IoT,  무인 자동차가 제품 운송에 큰 효율성을 가져다 줄 것
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제품 연구 개발  
  • 메이저 대기업들이 제조 부분의 R&D에 엄청난 비용을 투자 하고 있음
  • Science Exchange와 같은 외부 컨설팅 조직이 내부의 R&D 조직이 부족한 회사들에 도움을 주고 문제들을 빠르게 해결해 주고 있음
  • 3D 프린팅이 프로토 타입 개발에 첫번째 과정이 되어 가고 있음
  • 로롯 공학 기술은 복잡한 테스트를 인간보다 적은 오류로 ㄴ빠르게 처리 할 수 있음
  • 삼성이나 인텔과 같은 회사들의 R&D 비용이 증가하고 있으며, 반도체의 크기가 작아짐에 따라 로보틱스 시장은 점점 성장할 전망
  • 인공지능 의료 스타트업에 많은 투자가 이루어지고 있음. AI 기술을 통해 수많은 물질의 분석하고 분석 시간을 기존 대비 50% 단축 시킴
  • 로봇 자동화/AI/3DPrinting 등의 기술이 R&D에 적용되어 제품 출시 시간을 효율적으로 단축 시킬 수 있을것
  • 그 동안 프로토타입핑으로 사용되는 CAD가 가상 현실로 대체 될 것.
  • AutoCAD의 개발사인 Autodesk는 AR/VR 게임엔진 사와 협력하여, 새로운 제품을 개발 중
  • 애플은 AR/VR기술과 3D 프린트의 연관성에 관한 연구를 진행중
  • AR/VR을 통해 스케치한 것을 3D프린트를 통해 제작되는 연구가 활발하게 진행 될것으로 전망

 

From advanced robotics in R&D labs to computer vision in warehouses, technology is making an impact on every step of the manufacturing process.

Lights-out manufacturing refers to factories that operate autonomously and require no human presence. These robot-run settings often don’t even require lighting, and can consist of several machines functioning in the dark.

While this may sound futuristic, these types of factories have been a reality for more than 15 years.

Famously, the Japanese robotics maker FANUC has been operating a “lights-out” factory since 2001, where robots are building other robots completely unsupervised for nearly a month at a time.

“Not only is it lights-out,” said FANUC VP Gary Zywiol, “we turn off the air conditioning and heat too.”

To imagine a world where robots do all the physical work, one simply needs to look at the most ambitious and technology-laden factories of today.

For example, the Dongguan City, China-based phone part maker Changying Precision Technology Company has created an unmanned factory.

Everything in the factory — from machining equipment to unmanned transport trucks to warehouse equipment — is operated by computer-controlled robots. The technical staff monitors activity of these machines through a central control system.

Where it once required about 650 workers to keep the factory running, robot arms have cut Changying’s human workforce to less than a tenth of that, down to just 60 workers. A general manager for the company said that it aims to reduce that number to 20 in the future.

As industrial technology grows increasingly pervasive, this wave of automation and digitization is being labelled “Industry 4.0,” as in the fourth industrial revolution.

So, what does the future of factories hold?

To answer this, we took a deep dive into 8 different steps of the manufacturing process, to see how they are starting to change:

  • Product R&D: A look at how platforms are democratizing R&D talent, the ways AI is helping materials science, and how the drafting board of tomorrow could be an AR or VR headset.
  • Resource Planning & Sourcing: On-demand decentralized manufacturing and blockchain projects are working on the complexities of integrating suppliers.
  • Quality Assurance (QA): A look at how computer vision will find imperfections, and how software and blockchain tech will more quickly be able to identify problems (and implement recalls).
  • Warehousing: New warehouse demand could bring “lights-out” warehouses even faster than an unmanned factory, with the help of robotics and vision tracking.

 

Manufacturers predict overall efficiency to grow annually over the next five years at 7x the rate of growth seen since 1990. And despite representing 11.7% of US GDP and employing 8.5% of Americans, manufacturing remains an area of relatively low digitization — meaning there’s plenty of headroom for automation and software-led improvements.

Manufacturing is deeply changing with new technology, and nearly every manufacturing vertical — from cars, to electronics, to pharmaceuticals — is implicated. The timelines and technologies will vary by sector, but most steps in nearly every vertical will see improvement.

Read on for a closer look at how technology is transforming each step of the manufacturing process.

 

1. Product R&D

From drug production to industrial design, the planning stage is crucial for mass-production. Across industries, designers, chemists, and engineers are constantly hypothesis testing.

Will this design look right? Does this compound fit our needs? Testing and iterating is the essence of research and development. And the nature of mass-production makes last-minute redesigns costly.

Major corporations across drugs, technology, aerospace, and more pour billions of dollars each year into R&D. General Motors alone spent upwards of $8B on new development last year.

 

In the highly-scientific world of R&D, high-caliber talent is distributed across the globe. Now, software is helping companies tap into that pool.

When it comes to networking untapped talent in data science and finance, platforms like KaggleQuantopian, and Numerai are democratizing “quant” work and compensating their collaborators. The concept has also aleady taken off with pharmaceutical R&D, though it’s growing elsewhere as well. On-demand science platforms like Science Exchange are currently working across R&D verticals, and allow corporations to quickly solve for a lack of on-site talent by outsourcing R&D.

While R&D scientists may seem non-essential to the manufacturing process, they are increasingly critical for delivering the latest and greatest technology, especially in high-tech manufacturing.

Companies are exploring robotics, 3D printing, and artificial intelligence as avenues to improve the R&D process and reduce uncertainty when going into production. But the process of hypothesis testing has room for improvement, and tightening iteration time will translate to faster and better discoveries.

ROBOTICS & 3D PRINTING SPEED UP PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT ACROSS VERTICALS

Accelerating product development is the No. 1 priority for firms using 3D printing, according to a recent industry survey. Moreover, 57% of all 3D printing work done is in the first phases for new product development (i.e. proof of concept and prototyping).

3D printing is already a staple in any design studio. Before ordering thousands of physical parts, designers can us 3D printing to see what a future product looks like.

Similarly, robotics is automating the physical process of trial-and-error across a wide array of verticals.

In R&D for synthetic biology, for example, robotics making a big impact for companies like Zymergen and Ginkgo Bioworks, which manufacture custom chemicals from yeast microbes. Finding the perfect microbe requires testing up to 4,000 different variants concurrently, which translates to lot of wet lab work.

Using automatic pipette systems and robotics arms, liquid handling robots permit high-throughput experimentation to arrive at a winning combination faster and with less human error.

Below is the robot gene tester Counsyl (left), used for transferring samples, and Zymergen’s pipetting robot (right) for automating microbe culture testing.

Looking beyond biotech, material science has played a pivotal role in computing and electronics.

Notably, chip manufacturers like Inteland Samsung are among the largest R&D spenders in the world. As semiconductors get ever-smaller, working at nanoscale requires precision beyond human ability, making robotics the preferred option.

Tomorrow’s scientific tools will be increasingly more automated and precise to handle micro-scale precision.

AI IS HASTENING MATERIALS SCIENCE DISCOVERIES

Thomas Edison is well-known for highlighting materials science as a process of elimination: “I have not failed 10,000 times. I have not failed once. I have succeeded in proving that those 10,000 ways will not work.”

The spirit of Edison persists in today’s R&D labs, although R&D is still less digitized and software-enabled than one might expect (the National Academy of Sciences says developing new materials is often the longest stage of developing new products). Better digitization of the scientific method will be crucial to developing new products and materials and then manufacturing them at scale.

Currently, the hottest area for deals to AI startups is healthcare, as companies employ AI for drug discovery pipelines. Pharma companies are pouring cash into startups tracing drug R&D such as Recursion Pharmaceuticals and twoXAR, and it’s only a matter of time until this takes off elsewhere.

One company working in chemistry and materials science is Citrine Informatics (below, left). Citrine runs AI on its massive materials database, and claims it helps organizations hit R&D and manufacturing milestones 50% of the time. Similarly, Deepchem (right) develops a Python library for applying deep learning to chemistry.

In short, manufacturers across sectors — industrial biotech, drugs, cars, electronics, or other material goods — are relying on robotic automation and 3D printing to remain competitive and tighten the feedback loop in bringing a product to launch.

 

AUGMENTED AND VIRTUAL REALITY ‘ABSTRACT AWAY’ THE MODELING PROCESS

Currently, manufacturers of all types rely on prototyping with computer aided design (CAD) software. In future manufacturing processes, augmented and virtual reality could play a greater role in R&D, and could effectively “abstract away” the desktop PC for industrial designers, possibly eliminating the need for 3D printed physical models.

Autodesk, the software developer of AutoCAD, is a bellwether for the future of prototyping and collaboration technology. The company has been no stranger to investing in cutting-edge technology such as 3D printing, including a partnership with health AI startup Atomwise on a “confidential project.” Recently, Autodesk’s exploration into making an AR/VR game engine foreshadows the larger role it envisions for immersive computing in the design process.

Autodesk’s game engine, called Stingray, has added support for the HTC Vive and Oculus Rift headsets. Additionally, game and VR engine maker Unity has announced a partnership with Autodesk to increase interoperability.

Similarly, Apple has imagined AR/VR facilitating the design process in combination with 3D printing. Using the CB Insights database, we surfaced an Apple patent that envisions AR “overlaying computer-generated virtual information” onto real-world views of existing objects, effectively allowing industrial designers to make 3D-printed “edits” onto existing or unfinished objects.

The patent envisions using AR through “semi-transparent glasses,” but also mentions a “mobile device equipped with a camera,” hinting at potential 3D printing opportunities for using ARKit on an iPhone.

A researcher at Cornell has recently demonstrated the ability to sketch with AR/VR while 3D printing. Eventually, the human-computer interface could be so seamless that 3D models can be sculpted in real time.

Tomorrow’s R&D team will be exploring AR and VR, and testing how it works in combination with 3D printing, as well as the traditional prototyping stack.

 

CBinsights

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